Empirical analysis of English higher education, produced from 80 million verified records across 15 official data sources. Request access to receive any report directly.
Financial Risk
The Franchise Cliff
167,440 students in subcontracted arrangements, taught by providers invisible to the regulator. Three regulatory cliff edges converge before 2028 — with no time for exposed providers to adapt.
Available end of May Get notified →Market Demand
The Peak Is Not the Trend
English higher education reaches peak enrolment in 2030. By 2047, sector headcount is projected at −10.3% against 2025 — driven by ONS demographic projections, not policy.
Available early June Get notified →Sector Demand
The Creative Arts Crunch
Music up 19%. Drama down 19%. Design tipping. 176,755 students across six sub-disciplines moving in sharply different directions — hidden by sector-level aggregates.
Available end of June Get notified →Conversion Intelligence Programme
The Offer Is Not the Enrolment
4.3 million offers in 2025. For every 100, 26.9 students enrolled — down from 27.9 in 2016. Lower tariff providers made offers to 80.1 per cent of applications in 2025, up 10.9 percentage points over nine years. Higher tariff: 63.8 per cent, up just 2.2 points. The efficiency cost of the wider funnel is growing. Includes visa refusal rates by nationality.
Published May 2026 Request report →Request access
All sector intelligence is open access. Tell us which report you would like and we will send it to your inbox. For upcoming reports, we will notify you on publication.
Every report is built from 80 million records across HESA, UCAS, OfS, DfE, the Student Loans Company, the Home Office, and ONS. No estimates. No proxies. Official data only.
Data is assembled automatically from 15 verified public datasets, updated whenever publishers release new data, and held in a structured panel going back to 2002.
Every report is published in full with no paywall. Request access and we will send it directly to your inbox. For upcoming reports, we will notify you on publication.
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