Empirical analysis of English higher education, produced from 80 million verified records across 15 official data sources. Request access to receive any report directly.
Financial Risk
The Franchise Cliff
167,440 students in subcontracted arrangements, taught by providers invisible to the regulator. Three regulatory cliff edges converge before 2028 — with no time for exposed providers to adapt.
Published Request access →Sector Demand
The Peak Is Not the Trend
English higher education reaches peak enrolment in 2030. By 2047, sector headcount is projected at −10.3% against 2025 — driven by ONS demographic projections, not policy.
Published Request access →Sub-Discipline Analysis
The Creative Arts Crunch
Music up 19%. Drama down 19%. Design tipping. 176,755 students across six sub-disciplines moving in sharply different directions — hidden by sector-level aggregates.
Published Request access →Conversion Intelligence
The Offer Is Not the Enrolment
4.3 million offers in 2025. For every 100, 26.9 students enrolled. Nine years of conversion data from application to arrival, including visa refusal rates by nationality.
Publishing June Get notified →Request access
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Every report is built from 80 million records across HESA, UCAS, OfS, DfE, the Student Loans Company, the Home Office, and ONS. No estimates. No proxies. Official data only.
Data is assembled automatically from 15 verified public datasets, updated whenever publishers release new data, and held in a structured panel going back to 2002.
Every report is published in full with no paywall. Request access and we will send it directly to your inbox. For upcoming reports, we will notify you on publication.
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